(The guy didn’t become a gazillionaire by being an idiot.)
Warren Buffet — Buy American. I Am.
So … Iâ€™ve been buying American stocks. This is my personal account Iâ€™m talking about, in which I previously owned nothing but United States government bonds. …
A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive positions. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nationâ€™s many sound companies make no sense. These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records 5, 10 and 20 years from now. …
Today people who hold cash equivalents feel comfortable. They shouldnâ€™t. They have opted for a terrible long-term asset, one that pays virtually nothing and is certain to depreciate in value. Indeed, the policies that government will follow in its efforts to alleviate the current crisis will probably prove inflationary and therefore accelerate declines in the real value of cash accounts.
Equities will almost certainly outperform cash over the next decade, probably by a substantial degree. Those investors who cling now to cash are betting they can efficiently time their move away from it later. In waiting for the comfort of good news, they are ignoring Wayne Gretzkyâ€™s advice: â€œI skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been.â€
I donâ€™t like to opine on the stock market, and again I emphasize that I have no idea what the market will do in the short term. Nevertheless, Iâ€™ll follow the lead of a restaurant that opened in an empty bank building and then advertised: â€œPut your mouth where your money was.â€ Today my money and my mouth both say equities.